Exclusive Survey: Brown Leads Incumbent DeWine

5:40 AM, Aug 9, 2006   |    comments
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Brown, who represents Ohio's 13th District in Congress, unseats DeWine, 49% to 41% in a vote today, statistically unchanged from an identical SurveyUSA poll released two months ago. Though there is volatility among age groups - Brown is up among the youngest voters, down among middle-aged voters - the overall outcome is unchanged. The two candidates are tied among male voters. Brown's overall 8-point advantage comes entirely from his 15-point lead among female voters. More notes on the Survey:

  • DeWine holds 78% of his Republican base.
  • Brown holds 82% of his Democrat base.
  • Brown leads by 15 points among Independents.
  • Republican DeWine leads by 59 points among Conservatives.
  • Democrat Brown leads by 71 points among Liberals.
  • But among Moderates, the Democrat leads 2:1.
  • In Suburban and Rural Ohio, the two candidates are tied.
  • In Urban Ohio, Brown leads 2:1. The election is in 13 weeks, on 11/7/2006.
  • Filtering: 1,000 Ohio adults were surveyed 8/5/2006 - 8/7/2006. Of them, 848 were registered to vote. Of them, 503 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.


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