1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
has increased this afternoon, but remains disorganized.
moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Weather Maps and Conditions
The Europe storm death toll has risen to 15 after Danish police say a driver was killed when he crashed into a tree knocked down by violent gusts.